We asked experts about the greatest risks facing the world. Some answers were surprising
This video is part of: 新经济与社会中心
Short-term risks of AI may be underestimatedThe Global Risks Report 2025 highlights a significant shift in perceptions about AI risks. While "Adverse outcomes of AI technologies" ranks low at 31st on the list of risks over the next two years, it surges to 6th place over the next decade.
This raises concerns about whether we are too complacent about the short-term implications of AI, particularly as it amplifies challenges like misinformation and disinformation—currently the top-ranked risk for the next two years. AI-powered tools continue to fuel the spread of misleading content, deepening societal challenges.
Economic outlook shows cautious optimism
A notable change in this year’s report is the improved economic sentiment. Risks like "Inflation" and "Economic downturn," which ranked in the top 10 last year, have dropped significantly to 29th and 19th places, respectively.
This reflects a cautious optimism about the economy. However, vulnerabilities persist, particularly concerning geopolitical unrest’s potential impact on global growth. Notably, "Crime and illicit economic activity" has risen to 11th place, indicating ongoing challenges.
Intrastate violence remains an overlooked threat
Despite "State-based armed conflict" being the top short-term risk and ranking third over the next two years, "Intrastate violence" has dropped to 24th place, down seven positions from last year.
This category, encompassing riots, mass shootings, and gang violence, is closely tied to broader issues like societal polarization (ranked 4th) and inequality, the report's most interconnected risk. These findings suggest a need for more attention to domestic conflicts that could escalate amid societal tensions.
The Global Risks Report 2025, based on insights from over 900 experts, underscores the urgency of addressing these risks. While misinformation and state-based armed conflict dominate the short-term landscape, environmental risks like extreme weather events, biodiversity loss, and ecosystem collapse remain the top long-term threats.
