My current research is in the general area of operational earthquake forecasting, in essence the determination of time dependent changes to earthquake probabilities.
My work focuses on the computation of Coulomb stress changes which affect earthquake likelihood in time and space, and in combining this physics based approach with geological and statistical models.
I was a member of the expert elicitation panel on future seismic hazard in the Canterbury region whose work informed the revised building codes in Christchurch, New Zealand.
I was also lead editor of a special issue of the Journal of Geophysical Research on ‘stress transfer, earthquake triggering, and time-dependent seismic hazard’, and am lead author of the review paper that introduces the volume.