Why AI will not lead to a world without work
In 1983, Wassily Leontief, a Nobel Prize-winning economist, concluded that human labour would go the way of the horse after the automobile arrived – “first diminished and then eliminated.”
Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak is BCG's Global Chief Economist and a Managing Director and Partner in the firm's New York office. He leads the Center for Macroeconomics at the BCG Henderson Institute and is a coauthor of Shocks, Crises, and False Alarms: How to Assess True Macroeconomic Risk (Harvard Business Review Press, 2024).
Philipp previously was Chief Economist at Sanford C. Bernstein where he covered the economy for institutional investors across the asset management industry. Earlier in his career, he spent more than ten years advising financial institutions and governments at BCG, the OECD, and McKinsey & Company.
Philipp's research covers structural, cyclical, and firm-level themes, and he advises clients on tactical and strategic global macro topics. He is a regular contributor to Harvard Business Review, Fortune, and other business publications.
Philipp has a B.Sc. in economics from LSE and a Ph.D. from the University of Oxford.
In 1983, Wassily Leontief, a Nobel Prize-winning economist, concluded that human labour would go the way of the horse after the automobile arrived – “first diminished and then eliminated.”
近几十年来,技术进步的惊人速度也未能提升美国等发达经济体的经济增长率。新冠疫情期间,许多人急于宣布,数字服务的加速应用将成为一个转折点。但正如我们当时(以及之后)所写的那样,数字服务对增长的强劲影响不太可能实现,并且最终也的确没有实现。
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